Since
Mitt Romney's defeat in his entitlement-based campaign to move into
the White House there has been a lot of talk among GOP pundits and
consultants about the reasons for his defeat. All that punditry seems
to focus on outside factors instead of the simplest and most logical
reasons that the apologist for a Dickensian society lost: the
majority of people voting simply didn't like him or his 'ideas' nor
did they like or approve of the general message of the GOP. What I
find interesting however is the recent plan by the pundits to fix the
misidentified problem. Their problem is that they are going to
continue to lose presidential elections as they continue to pander to
what's left of a society and its social mores that have begun a mad
rush to the exits. This country is not the same country
demographically or politically it was fifty years ago, as one can
easily see in the sea change between 2008 and this past election at
least in the national debate that has been boiling around marriage
equality in the four states where it was on the ballot this past
month. In the analyses presented by GOP pundits they have urged that
the cumbersome Electoral College systems (there are really 51
separate systems) that we use to actually elect our president isn't
itself the problem. They see the problem in how those electoral
votes are distributed and divvied up between the two major party
candidates. There is very little hope under the current 'winner take
all' system most states use to select presidential and vice
presidential electors that the candidates of minor parties, such as
Greens or Libertarians will ever win any electoral votes for their
presidential candidates and this lack of hope will be cemented in
place under the GOPer fixit plan. That problem flows naturally from
the two party system we use. If the GOPers were really sincere in
their desire to fix what they see as the evils of the present system
they would push an amendment to our Constitution that eliminated the
electoral college systems altogether so that presidents and vice
presidents would be elected at large by the entire voting population. This action at least in theory would allow for that elusive condition, a level playing field on which to compete electorally and give minor parties and their candidates some hope of actually winning an election some day.
Article
II, Section 1 of the Constitution and the 12th
Amendment describe the electoral college and its duties and the
manner of its selection and how and where they vote on the day
specified by Congress. Our Constitution says that the electors of
each state are chosen as their respective state legislatures
determine. Currently the overwhelming majority of states and
commonwealths that make up the Union use a winner take all system in
which the candidate who gets the greatest number of popular votes
earns all of that state's electoral votes. A few states award
electoral votes by congressional district, this is the 'fix' being
proposed by the GOP. Under this system a state would award its votes
according to which candidate wins the most votes in each
congressional district. On its face that sounds fair because it
appears to be a local election where Joe Citizen gets a more direct
impact on the selection of the president. It appears to bring
democracy home to your own neighborhood. They say it removes the
'evils' from the current system which awards all a state's electoral
votes to which ever candidate wins the most votes in the popular
election. Their system just converts a statewide winner take all
election to the same effect in each congressional district in the
state.
The
major failure of this plan, along with permanently freezing minor
parties out of a chance ever to have their candidates elected is that
assigning presidential electors in this fashion suffers from the same
liberty defects that plague electing our congressional
representatives by congressional district: apportionment and
decennial re-apportionment and the gerrymanders they always create.
The determination of your representation in the House closely tracks
in time the decennial census the federal government conducts.
Congressional and state legislative districts are generally
reapportioned in the year after the census. These reapportioned
districts are generally created by legislators who will run for
re-election in the next election and the electoral maps tend to favor
the re-election of the fellows who drew the districts. And of course
there is great cooperation among the legislators participating in
such shenanigans. It's another example of the play out and operation
of the old adage that 'one hand washes the other'. Each congress
critter represents approximately six hundred thousand people in order
to keep faith with the Supreme Court's 'one man one vote'
jurisprudence. As a result of this rural districts tend to
be geographically large and urban districts to be much smaller and more
compact. Rural areas tend to be more conservative than the residents
of urban areas. The result is that rural areas tend to elect the
same people to the same office year after year and those persons tend
to be conservative in large part because of the demographics of rural
districts. If each of those districts elect presidential electors
they will be conservative too and will tend to vote that way when
electing the chief executive. The GOPer plan is a new paint job on an
old broken vehicle: divide and conquer.
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